> For the complete documentation index, see [llms.txt](https://handbook.spend.market/llms.txt). Markdown versions of documentation pages are available by appending `.md` to page URLs; this page is available as [Markdown](https://handbook.spend.market/welcome-to-spend-market/overview.md).

# Overview

Every prediction market answers a question. The difference is how the answer gets decided. Most markets settle on an oracle reading the news: a headline, a filing, an analyst's model, somebody's published statement.&#x20;

Spend Market settles on the thing itself: what people actually bought.

A market about Starbucks resolves on Starbucks transactions. A market about whether DoorDash orders are shrinking resolves on DoorDash orders. No interpretation, no proxy, no waiting for a press release to characterize an economic event that already happened.

> **The truth is the transaction.**

[Spend Market](https://spend.market/markets) is a prediction market that resolves on verified U.S. consumer transaction data. You take a position on what American consumers will do, and real purchase data decides whether you were right. Not headlines. Not quarterly reports. What happened at the register.

> **The receipt is the oracle.**

***

*Spend Market is operated by* [*American Spend, Inc*](https://www.americanspend.com/)*.*


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